Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Carlos Taberner
Team pages: Henrique Rocha · Carlos Taberner
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Carlos Taberner
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Taberner
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1481 · Carlos Taberner 1474
| Henrique Rocha | Carlos Taberner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Carlos Taberner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.9 | 11-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-21 | L |
| 11/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Lorenzo Sonego Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 11/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Montemar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/11 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Montemar · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Carlos Taberner?
Our model gives 58% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.