Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Felix Gill vs Sebastian Ofner
Team pages: Felix Gill · Sebastian Ofner
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Gill
Sebastian Ofner
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill
4-6 (W-L)
Sebastian Ofner
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1464 · Sebastian Ofner 1409
| Felix Gill | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Gill (rating 1464 vs 1409).
- Note: Sebastian Ofner makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Felix Gill | Sebastian Ofner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 29% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 0.8-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.9 | 11.8-14.2 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 25.1% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Gill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Rafael Jodar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sebastian Ofner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kei Nishikori US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Hamad Medjedovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 23-21 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Sebastian Ofner?
Our model gives 54% to Sebastian Ofner, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.