Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Petr Brunclik · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Brunclik
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Brunclik
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Brunclik 1469 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1534
| Petr Brunclik | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1469 vs 1534).
- Note: Petr Brunclik makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Petr Brunclik | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Brunclik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 57% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.