Tennis · Challenger Seville · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Pol Martin Tiffon
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Pol Martin Tiffon
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Pol Martin Tiffon
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
7-3 (W-L)
Pol Martin Tiffon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1558 · Pol Martin Tiffon 1509
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1558 vs 1509).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.8 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Quentin Halys US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-25 | L |
| 02/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Pol Martin Tiffon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Pol Martin Tiffon?
Our model gives 67% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.