Tennis · Challenger Seville · 06/09, 12:30
Prediction: Saba Purtseladze vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Saba Purtseladze · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Saba Purtseladze
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saba Purtseladze 1537 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1533
| Saba Purtseladze | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 8 aces and 100% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Saba Purtseladze | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 13.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 100% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saba Purtseladze vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 58% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.