Tennis · Challenger Seville · 06/09, 14:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1539 · Lorenzo Carboni 1513
| Gerard Campana Lee | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.4 | 10.2-7.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Filip Pieczonka M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Valentin Basel M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Jiri Cizek M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alessandro Dragoni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 54% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.