Tennis · Challenger Seville · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Team pages: Imanol Lopez Morillo · Pedro Vives Marcos

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Imanol Lopez Morillo Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Imanol Lopez Morillo 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWLL
Pedro Vives Marcos 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1485 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1571
Imanol Lopez MorilloPedro Vives Marcos
Our model38%62%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1485 vs 1571).

Statistics

Imanol Lopez MorilloPedro Vives Marcos
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.5-1
Games (G-P)11.9-11.113.4-11.8
Aces2.43
Double faults1.63
1st serve %67.5%69.1%
Break %44.8%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Tristan McCormick
M25 Oviedo
0-2 12-14 L
21/08 Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Santander
0-2 9-13 L
19/08 Carles Hernandez
M25 Santander
2-1 15-11 W
18/08 Nathan Walters
M25 Santander
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Oliver Majdandzic
M15 Trier
0-2 8-13 L
31/07 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Koszalin
1-2 14-16 L
30/07 Pawel Juszczak
M25 Koszalin
2-1 15-13 W
29/07 Jakub Januchowski
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-2 W
23/07 Max Houkes
M25 Metzingen
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Tim Handel
M25 Metzingen
2-1 15-10 W

Pedro Vives Marcos

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/09 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 18-16 W
03/09 Niels Visker
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
01/09 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
30/08 Joao Silva
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
27/08 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Oviedo
0-2 7-13 L
26/08 Bernardo Munk Mesa
M25 Oviedo
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Aren Baybars
M25 Oviedo
2-1 18-10 W
19/08 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Santander
1-2 14-17 L
26/07 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Pedro Vives Marcos?

Our model gives 68% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.