Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 06/09, 14:30
Prediction: Andrew Paulson vs Robert Strombachs
Team pages: Andrew Paulson · Robert Strombachs
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Paulson
Robert Strombachs
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Paulson
3-7 (W-L)
Robert Strombachs
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Paulson 1463 · Robert Strombachs 1516
| Andrew Paulson | Robert Strombachs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robert Strombachs (rating 1463 vs 1516).
- Robert Strombachs is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Andrew Paulson makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Andrew Paulson | Robert Strombachs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.2 | 10.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 70% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Paulson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/04 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/03 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Robert Strombachs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Dominik Matic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Paulson vs Robert Strombachs?
Our model gives 58% to Andrew Paulson, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.