Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 06/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jelle Sels vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Jelle Sels · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Jelle Sels
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jelle Sels
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelle Sels 1512 · Matthew William Donald 1510
| Jelle Sels | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Jelle Sels | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.3 | 12.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 34% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/08 | David Poljak Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Christopher Thies Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jelle Sels vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 60% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.