Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 06/09, 11:30
Prediction: Norbert Gombos vs Alexander Wagner
Team pages: Norbert Gombos · Alexander Wagner
Prediction summary
Winner
Norbert Gombos
Alexander Wagner
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Norbert Gombos
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Wagner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Norbert Gombos 1581 · Alexander Wagner 1507
| Norbert Gombos | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norbert Gombos (rating 1581 vs 1507).
- Norbert Gombos dominates on serve: 6 aces and 49.4% break avg.
- Norbert Gombos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Norbert Gombos | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.3 | 11.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea De Marchi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alexander Wagner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Adam Soukup M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Tomas Lanik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Vitek Horak M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norbert Gombos vs Alexander Wagner?
Our model gives 77% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.