Tennis · Challenger Tulln · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Luca Wiedenmann vs Henry Bernet
Team pages: Luca Wiedenmann · Henry Bernet
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Wiedenmann
Henry Bernet
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Wiedenmann
5-5 (W-L)
Henry Bernet
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Wiedenmann 1501 · Henry Bernet 1505
| Luca Wiedenmann | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Henry Bernet dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 52% break avg.
Statistics
| Luca Wiedenmann | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.5 | 14-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 80.4% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sander Jong M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaron Held M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 30/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Marko Maric M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Wiedenmann vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 65% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.