Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 06/09, 15:30
Prediction: Jaquelyn Ogunwale vs Lexie Weir
Team pages: Jaquelyn Ogunwale · Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaquelyn Ogunwale
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaquelyn Ogunwale
7-3 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaquelyn Ogunwale 1533 · Lexie Weir 1580
| Jaquelyn Ogunwale | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1533 vs 1580).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jaquelyn Ogunwale | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.1 | 12.1-7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaquelyn Ogunwale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Daria Volosova UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Louane Lutringer UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Alice Gillan W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Anri Nagata W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zuzanna Kolonus W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dominika Podhajecka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Berrak Kocak UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Sofia Rocchetti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ella Piron UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/08 | Waverly Potter UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Josephine Lombardi UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaquelyn Ogunwale vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 51% to Jaquelyn Ogunwale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.