Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 04/09, 18:00
Prediction: Mayu Crossley vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Mayu Crossley · Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayu Crossley
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mayu Crossley
7-3 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayu Crossley 1583 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1469
| Mayu Crossley | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayu Crossley (rating 1583 vs 1469).
- Mayu Crossley is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mayu Crossley makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mayu Crossley | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-7.7 | 9.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayu Crossley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Kovalcik UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Ellie Blackford UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Isabella Barretto UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Nora Syrtveit UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Fangran Tian W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Katsiaryna Starastsenka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Alessia Cau UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kennedy Gibbs UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Marylove Edwards UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sophia Cisse-Ignatiev UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Elen Jantacova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/02 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/02 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayu Crossley vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 82% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.