Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 04/09, 18:00
Prediction: Katsiaryna Starastsenka vs Jenna Dean
Team pages: Katsiaryna Starastsenka · Jenna Dean
Prediction summary
Winner
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
Jenna Dean
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
4-6 (W-L)
Jenna Dean
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katsiaryna Starastsenka 1456 · Jenna Dean 1435
| Katsiaryna Starastsenka | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Katsiaryna Starastsenka | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.5-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.9 | 4.9-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 46.9% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/01 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/01 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/01 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/01 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/01 | Katerina Shabashkevich UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Olivia Traynor UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Josephine Kunz UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Gabriella Rawles UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Jenna Dean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
1-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 01/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Clervie Ngounoue W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sofia Johnson W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Adriana Reami W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Hannah Klugman W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/04 | Carson Tanguilig W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katsiaryna Starastsenka vs Jenna Dean?
Our model gives 58% to Jenna Dean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.