Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 08/09, 05:00
Prediction: Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Ilia Simakin
Team pages: Sergio Callejon Hernando · Ilia Simakin
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Ilia Simakin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Callejon Hernando
3-7 (W-L)
Ilia Simakin
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergio Callejon Hernando
0–1
Ilia Simakin
(1 last)
- 05 Jul0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1480 · Ilia Simakin 1605
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilia Simakin (rating 1480 vs 1605).
- Ilia Simakin dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Ilia Simakin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sergio Callejon Hernando 0–1 Ilia Simakin (1).
Statistics
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.1 | 13.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Sergio Callejon Hernando 0 – 1 Ilia Simakin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergio Callejon Hernando 0–1 Ilia Simakin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/24 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Callejon Hernando
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ilia Simakin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model gives 68% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.