Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 08/09, 05:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
4-6 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1481 · Dominik Palan 1521
| Hiroki Moriya | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominik Palan (rating 1481 vs 1521).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.1 | 11.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 56% to Hiroki Moriya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.