Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 06/09, 05:00
Prediction: Noritaka Koizumi vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Noritaka Koizumi · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Noritaka Koizumi
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Noritaka Koizumi
6-4 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noritaka Koizumi 1517 · Taisei Ichikawa 1518
| Noritaka Koizumi | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Noritaka Koizumi | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.4 | 9.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Bali |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noritaka Koizumi vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 55% to Taisei Ichikawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.