Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 06/09, 06:30
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Martin Borisiouk
Team pages: Takuya Kumasaka · Martin Borisiouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Martin Borisiouk
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Borisiouk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1454 · Martin Borisiouk 1573
| Takuya Kumasaka | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1454 vs 1573).
- Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Martin Borisiouk is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Martin Borisiouk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.5 | 12.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 83.7% |
| Break % | 39% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Asier Meneses Perny Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Martin Borisiouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Egor Agafonov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Arseniy Trebukhin M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Martin Borisiouk?
Our model gives 57% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.