Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1582 · Taro Daniel 1545
| Matthew Dellavedova | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.3 | 12.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 62% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.