Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marat Sharipov
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Marat Sharipov
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Marat Sharipov
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
5-5 (W-L)
Marat Sharipov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1499 · Marat Sharipov 1564
| Yosuke Watanuki | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1499 vs 1564).
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 41.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 10.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Marat Sharipov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Patrick Jozwicki M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Marat Sharipov?
Our model gives 51% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.