Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Rio Noguchi vs Rigele Te
Team pages: Rio Noguchi · Rigele Te
Prediction summary
Winner
Rio Noguchi
Rigele Te
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Noguchi
4-6 (W-L)
Rigele Te
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rio Noguchi 1495 · Rigele Te 1563
| Rio Noguchi | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigele Te (rating 1495 vs 1563).
Statistics
| Rio Noguchi | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.1 | 11.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 54% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Noguchi vs Rigele Te?
Our model gives 59% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.