Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Alexis Galarneau
Team pages: Semen Pankin · Alexis Galarneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Semen Pankin
Alexis Galarneau
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Semen Pankin
6-4 (W-L)
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1478 · Alexis Galarneau 1491
| Semen Pankin | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Alexis Galarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.3 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 50% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Bazdar M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Keegan Smith US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Alexis Galarneau?
Our model gives 65% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.