Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Linang Xiao vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Linang Xiao · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Linang Xiao
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linang Xiao 1447 · Kaichi Uchida 1389
| Linang Xiao | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linang Xiao (rating 1447 vs 1389).
- Linang Xiao is in better form: 30% recent wins.
Statistics
| Linang Xiao | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.5 | 6.1-12.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 21.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Filip Peliwo M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Blake Ellis Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/04 | Colin Sinclair M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Zurui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Max Houkes Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linang Xiao vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 52% to Kaichi Uchida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.