Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
7-3 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergey Fomin
0–1
Yi Zhou
(1 last)
- 15 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1484 · Yi Zhou 1472
| Sergey Fomin | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sergey Fomin 0–1 Yi Zhou (1).
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.5 | 13.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 72% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Sergey Fomin 0 – 1 Yi Zhou (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergey Fomin 0–1 Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/23 ITF M25 Yinchuan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Yi Zhou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 60% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.