Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Jie Cui · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jie Cui
3–2
Fajing Sun
(5 last)
- 28 Sept2-1 15-12W
- 25 May2-0 12-5W
- 20 Aug2-0 13-8W
- 06 Aug1-2 11-16L
- 19 May0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1486 · Fajing Sun 1506
| Jie Cui | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jie Cui 3–2 Fajing Sun (5).
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.4 | 11.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Jie Cui 3 – 2 Fajing Sun (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jie Cui 3–2 Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 ITF M25 Fuzhou | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/05/24 M25 Anning | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08/23 ITF M25 Yinchuan | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08/23 M25 Anning | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/05/19 ITF M25 Luan | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 56% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.