Tennis · Challenger Shanghai · 08/09, 04:00
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu
Team pages: Ilya Ivashka · Yu Hsiou Hsu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
5-5 (W-L)
Yu Hsiou Hsu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1529 · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1545
| Ilya Ivashka | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ilya Ivashka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Yu Hsiou Hsu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.6 | 10.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu?
Our model gives 54% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.