Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 06/09, 06:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Ilia Simakin
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Ilia Simakin
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Ilia Simakin
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
7-3 (W-L)
Ilia Simakin
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kasidit Samrej
0–1
Ilia Simakin
(1 last)
- 25 Aug0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1626 · Ilia Simakin 1606
| Kasidit Samrej | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kasidit Samrej dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Ilia Simakin dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kasidit Samrej 0–1 Ilia Simakin (1).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 13.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Kasidit Samrej 0 – 1 Ilia Simakin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasidit Samrej 0–1 Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/24 ITF M15 Nakhon Si Thammarat | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Ilia Simakin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model gives 61% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.