Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 04/09, 05:00
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
7-3 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1574 · Ilya Ivashka 1584
| Ilia Simakin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ilya Ivashka makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.8 | 13.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 51% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.