Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 05/09, 06:30
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
7-3 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ilia Simakin
2–0
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
(2 last)
- 24 Feb2-1 17-14W
- 15 Jan2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1610 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1556
| Ilia Simakin | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilia Simakin (rating 1610 vs 1556).
- Head-to-head: Ilia Simakin 2–0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (2).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.3 | 12.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Ilia Simakin 2 – 0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilia Simakin 2–0 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Challenger Pune | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/01/26 M25 Chennai | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Dominik Palan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 66% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.