Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 05/09, 04:00
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Taiyo Uenoyama
Team pages: Kotaro Mochizuki · Taiyo Uenoyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Taiyo Uenoyama
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Taiyo Uenoyama
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kotaro Mochizuki
3–0
Taiyo Uenoyama
(3 last)
- 14 Jul2-1 15-9W
- 05 Jan2-0 13-6W
- 10 Mar2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1554 · Taiyo Uenoyama 1522
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kotaro Mochizuki 3–0 Taiyo Uenoyama (3).
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.7 | 9.9-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 63% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Kotaro Mochizuki 3 – 0 Taiyo Uenoyama (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kotaro Mochizuki 3–0 Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/03/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/01 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Taiyo Uenoyama?
Our model gives 61% to Kotaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.