Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/09, 02:00
Prediction: Taiyo Uenoyama vs Toshiki Karigyo
Team pages: Taiyo Uenoyama · Toshiki Karigyo
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Uenoyama
Toshiki Karigyo
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Uenoyama
7-3 (W-L)
Toshiki Karigyo
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taiyo Uenoyama
0–2
Toshiki Karigyo
(2 last)
- 09 Jan0-2 5-12L
- 01 Feb0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Uenoyama 1531 · Toshiki Karigyo 1558
| Taiyo Uenoyama | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taiyo Uenoyama 0–2 Toshiki Karigyo (2).
- Note: Toshiki Karigyo makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Taiyo Uenoyama | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.1 | 11.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Taiyo Uenoyama 0 – 2 Toshiki Karigyo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taiyo Uenoyama 0–2 Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/02/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Ke Hau Hung UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/01 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Yuta Tomida UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ye Chen M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Uenoyama vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Our model gives 62% to Toshiki Karigyo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.