Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 04/09, 02:00
Prediction: Ryotaro Matsumura vs Kotaro Mochizuki
Team pages: Ryotaro Matsumura · Kotaro Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryotaro Matsumura
Kotaro Mochizuki
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ryotaro Matsumura
8-2 (W-L)
Kotaro Mochizuki
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryotaro Matsumura
6–0
Kotaro Mochizuki
(6 last)
- 04 Feb2-0 13-7W
- 31 Jan2-0 13-9W
- 29 Nov2-1 18-16W
- 24 May2-0 12-7W
- 23 Feb2-0 12-3W
- 07 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryotaro Matsumura 1581 · Kotaro Mochizuki 1543
| Ryotaro Matsumura | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ryotaro Matsumura 6–0 Kotaro Mochizuki (6).
Statistics
| Ryotaro Matsumura | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.1 | 11.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Ryotaro Matsumura 6 – 0 Kotaro Mochizuki (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryotaro Matsumura 6–0 Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/11/25 UTR Pro Kakogawa | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/05/25 UTR Pro Urayasu | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/02/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01/25 UTR Pro Noda | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryotaro Matsumura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/03 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/03 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/03 | Bence Boros UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/03 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/03 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/02 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryotaro Matsumura vs Kotaro Mochizuki?
Our model gives 70% to Ryotaro Matsumura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.