Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 02/09, 06:00
Prediction: Alexey Shtengelov vs Hong-Lin Fu
Team pages: Alexey Shtengelov · Hong-Lin Fu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Shtengelov
Hong-Lin Fu
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Shtengelov
3-7 (W-L)
Hong-Lin Fu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Shtengelov 1440 · Hong-Lin Fu 1473
| Alexey Shtengelov | Hong-Lin Fu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexey Shtengelov | Hong-Lin Fu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-12.1 | 9.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Shtengelov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Hong-Lin Fu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob K Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Yuto Miyagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/11 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Seiya Nakanishi ITF M15 Yanagawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Shtengelov vs Hong-Lin Fu?
Our model gives 64% to Hong-Lin Fu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.