Tennis · W50 Leiria · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Oceane Dodin vs Hayu Kinoshita
Team pages: Oceane Dodin · Hayu Kinoshita
Prediction summary
Winner
Oceane Dodin
Hayu Kinoshita
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Oceane Dodin
6-4 (W-L)
Hayu Kinoshita
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oceane Dodin 1527 · Hayu Kinoshita 1458
| Oceane Dodin | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Dodin (rating 1527 vs 1458).
- Oceane Dodin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Hayu Kinoshita makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Oceane Dodin | Hayu Kinoshita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 8.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oceane Dodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Arantxa Rus W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alisa Oktiabreva WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Emily Appleton W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Brooke Black W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Hayu Kinoshita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Viktoriya Tomova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oceane Dodin vs Hayu Kinoshita?
Our model gives 55% to Oceane Dodin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.