Tennis · W50 Leiria · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Linda Fruhvirtova

Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Linda Fruhvirtova

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Malaika Rapolu Linda Fruhvirtova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Linda Fruhvirtova 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1577 · Linda Fruhvirtova 1469
Malaika RapoluLinda Fruhvirtova
Our model65%35%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1577 vs 1469).
  • Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Malaika RapoluLinda Fruhvirtova
Win %80%40%
Win % · Hard 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.1-711.4-11.1
Aces22.8
Double faults35.7
1st serve %65.3%64.4%
Break %53.5%55.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malaika Rapolu

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
W50 Leiria
2-0 13-5 W
02/09 Mika Stojsavljevic
W50 Leiria
1-0 7-5 W
06/08 Madison Sieg
W100 Landisville
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Kylie Collins
W75 Lexington
1-2 10-15 L
29/07 Mia Slama
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Hina Inoue
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-2 W
25/07 Angelina Voloshchuk
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Mayu Crossley
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Carolina Gomez
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Lexington Reed
W35 Santa Fe
2-1 16-11 W

Linda Fruhvirtova

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Raphaelle Lacasse
W50 Leiria
2-0 13-8 W
26/08 Carson Branstine
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/08 Polina Kudermetova
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/08 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Warsaw · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
27/07 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
21/07 Barbora Krejcikova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/07 Xinyu Gao
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 11-12 L
18/07 Elena Micic
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
14/07 Xinyu Gao
WTA Istanbul · Clay
1-2 15-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Linda Fruhvirtova?

Our model gives 52% to Linda Fruhvirtova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.