Tennis · W50 Leiria · 04/09, 19:30

Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Oceane Dodin

Team pages: Caroline Werner · Oceane Dodin

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Caroline Werner Oceane Dodin
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLWW
Oceane Dodin 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWLWWWW
Head-to-head
Caroline Werner 0–1 Oceane Dodin (1 last)
  • 28 Aug1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1479 · Oceane Dodin 1553
Caroline WernerOceane Dodin
Our model40%60%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Dodin (rating 1479 vs 1553).
  • Oceane Dodin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Caroline Werner 0–1 Oceane Dodin (1).
  • Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Caroline WernerOceane Dodin
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.1-11.311.1-11.1
Aces1.74.1
Double faults3.77.1
1st serve %59.6%65.8%
Break %46.6%45.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

H2H · Caroline Werner 01 Oceane Dodin (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caroline Werner 01 Oceane Dodin

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/08/19
ITF W25 Verbier
1-215-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caroline Werner

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Elena Micic
W50 Leiria
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Veronika Podrez
W50 Leiria
2-1 16-10 W
22/08 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/07 Laura Pigossi
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 6-11 L
28/07 Gabriela Paun
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 13-7 W
21/07 Mina Hodzic
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
12/07 Ilinca D Amariei
WTA Iasi · Clay
1-2 12-12 L
08/07 Alice Tubello
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Dominika Salkova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Alina Charaeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-17 L

Oceane Dodin

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Hayu Kinoshita
W50 Leiria
2-0 14-10 W
02/09 Jodie Anna Burrage
W50 Leiria
2-0 12-5 W
06/08 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W75 Ourense
1-2 7-16 L
04/08 Arantxa Rus
W75 Ourense
2-1 14-12 W
22/07 Dominika Salkova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/07 Alisa Oktiabreva
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/07 Naiktha Bains
W50 Nottingham
0-2 2-9 L
16/07 Emily Appleton
W50 Nottingham
2-1 16-17 W
15/07 Brooke Black
W50 Nottingham
2-0 13-8 W
14/07 Mika Stojsavljevic
W50 Nottingham
2-1 19-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Oceane Dodin?

Our model gives 53% to Oceane Dodin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.