Tennis · W50 Leiria · 03/09, 20:30
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Linda Fruhvirtova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Linda Fruhvirtova
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Linda Fruhvirtova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1520 · Linda Fruhvirtova 1456
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (rating 1520 vs 1456).
- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.9 | 10.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Linda Fruhvirtova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Raphaelle Lacasse W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Carson Branstine US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Polina Kudermetova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Elena Micic WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Linda Fruhvirtova?
Our model gives 67% to Linda Fruhvirtova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.