Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 03/09, 04:00
Prediction: Haruka Kaji vs Han Shi
Team pages: Haruka Kaji · Han Shi
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruka Kaji
Han Shi
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Haruka Kaji
4-6 (W-L)
Han Shi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruka Kaji 1500 · Han Shi 1600
| Haruka Kaji | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1500 vs 1600).
- Han Shi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Haruka Kaji | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.5 | 11.9-6.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 52.6% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruka Kaji
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Yufei Ren W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Elena Milovanovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Amandine Hesse W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Ankita Raina W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Lea Ma W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Rina Saigo W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Jiangxue Han W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Vaishnavi Adkar W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Shiyu Ye W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruka Kaji vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 69% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.