Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 05/09, 04:00
Prediction: Darya Astakhova vs Patcharin Cheapchandej
Team pages: Darya Astakhova · Patcharin Cheapchandej
Prediction summary
Winner
Darya Astakhova
Patcharin Cheapchandej
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Darya Astakhova
6-4 (W-L)
Patcharin Cheapchandej
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darya Astakhova 1541 · Patcharin Cheapchandej 1568
| Darya Astakhova | Patcharin Cheapchandej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Darya Astakhova | Patcharin Cheapchandej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 11.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darya Astakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Han Shi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuki Naito W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Patcharin Cheapchandej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Fangran Tian W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/09 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Momoko Kobori W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Alexandra Malova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Ke Ren W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darya Astakhova vs Patcharin Cheapchandej?
Our model gives 57% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.