Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 04/09, 04:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Han Shi · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
8-2 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1621 · Darya Astakhova 1529
| Han Shi | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1621 vs 1529).
- Han Shi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-6.5 | 10.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 61.7% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Haruka Kaji W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Rina Saigo W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Jiangxue Han W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Vaishnavi Adkar W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Shiyu Ye W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Darya Astakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuki Naito W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 61% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.