Tennis · W75 Tianjin · 03/09, 04:00

Prediction: Miho Kuramochi vs Darya Astakhova

Team pages: Miho Kuramochi · Darya Astakhova

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Miho Kuramochi Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Miho Kuramochi 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWW
Darya Astakhova 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miho Kuramochi 1578 · Darya Astakhova 1517
Miho KuramochiDarya Astakhova
Our model59%41%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miho Kuramochi (rating 1578 vs 1517).

Statistics

Miho KuramochiDarya Astakhova
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-7.89.6-10
Aces0.10.6
Double faults33
1st serve %62.2%56.8%
Break %54.2%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miho Kuramochi

WLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Hina Inoue
W75 Tianjin
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Funa Kozaki
W75 Tianjin
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W75 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Avery Alexander
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/07 Hiroko Kuwata
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Avery Alexander
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Mia Kupres
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-6 W
16/07 Ena Koike
W75 Granby
0-2 5-12 L

Darya Astakhova

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Yuki Naito
W75 Tianjin
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Marina Bassols Ribera
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
21/08 Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-10 L
20/08 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
19/08 Lea Nilsson
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
13/08 Elena Milovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
11/08 Antonia Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Berfu Cengiz
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 0-12 L
21/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miho Kuramochi vs Darya Astakhova?

Our model gives 55% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.