Tennis · US Open WD · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos

Team pages: Aoyama/Liang · Neel/Olmos

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Aoyama/Liang Neel/Olmos
Estimated games
25.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aoyama/Liang 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLWWL
Neel/Olmos 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLLWWL
Head-to-head
Aoyama/Liang 2–0 Neel/Olmos (2 last)
  • 16 Aug2-0 13-7W
  • 13 Jun2-1 18-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aoyama/Liang 1545 · Neel/Olmos 1509
Aoyama/LiangNeel/Olmos
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Aoyama/Liang 2–0 Neel/Olmos (2).

Statistics

Aoyama/LiangNeel/Olmos
Win %60%50%
Win % · Grass 75% (4) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.3-1.3
Games (G-P)11.7-1114-13.8
Aces1.11.5
Double faults3.42.4
1st serve %61.4%65.1%
Break %46.5%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.3

H2H · Aoyama/Liang 20 Neel/Olmos (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aoyama/Liang 20 Neel/Olmos

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/08/26
WTA Cincinnati WD
2-013-7W
13/06/26
WTA Hertogenbosch WD
2-118-15W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aoyama/Liang

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/08 Joint/Xu
WTA Monterrey WD · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/08 Chwalinska/Kraus
WTA Monterrey WD · Hard
2-1 20-15 W
24/08 Perez/Schuurs
WTA Monterrey WD · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Routliffe/Sutjiadi
WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/08 Neel/Olmos
WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
07/08 Chan/Joint
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Dabrowski/Stefani
Wimbledon WD · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
08/07 Perez/Schuurs
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
06/07 Hsieh/Wang
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
05/07 Birrell/Gibson
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-1 17-10 W

Neel/Olmos

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Aoyama/Liang
WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/08 Li/Tauson
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
1-2 21-22 L
07/08 Danilina/Krunic
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Jiang/Xu
Wimbledon WD · Grass
1-2 11-14 L
06/07 Danilina/Krunic
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
05/07 Eikeri/Gleason
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-1 16-15 W
02/07 Hozumi/Wu
Wimbledon WD · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Muhammad/Stollar
WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Hozumi/Wu
WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass
2-1 20-14 W
13/06 Aoyama/Liang
WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass
1-2 15-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos?

Our model gives 55% to Aoyama/Liang, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.