Tennis · US Open WD · 07/09, 20:00
Prediction: Neel/Olmos vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Team pages: Neel/Olmos · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Neel/Olmos
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Neel/Olmos
4-6 (W-L)
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Neel/Olmos 1524 · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 1518
| Neel/Olmos | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Neel/Olmos | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.3 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neel/Olmos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Shibahara/Tararudee US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aoyama/Liang US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Li/Tauson WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-22 | L |
| 07/08 | Danilina/Krunic WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Jiang/Xu Wimbledon WD · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/07 | Danilina/Krunic Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Eikeri/Gleason Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Hozumi/Wu Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Muhammad/Stollar WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Dart/Lumsden US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Golubic/Waltert US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Monterrey WD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dabrowski/Krejcikova WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Selekhmeteva/Zakharova French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/05 | Piter/Zarazua French Open WD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Kozyreva/Panova WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/05 | Andreeva/Shnaider WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Siniakova/Townsend WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Kichenok/Krunic WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neel/Olmos vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez?
Our model gives 60% to Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.