Tennis · US Open WD · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Dart/Lumsden vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez

Team pages: Dart/Lumsden · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Dart/Lumsden Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dart/Lumsden 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLWW
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dart/Lumsden 1578 · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez 1521
Dart/LumsdenBucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Our model58%42%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dart/Lumsden (rating 1578 vs 1521).

Statistics

Dart/LumsdenBucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (4) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.4-1
Games (G-P)13.4-9.612.3-11.1
Aces0.70.8
Double faults3.22.7
1st serve %64.7%63.3%
Break %45.1%50.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dart/Lumsden

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Marcinko/Oliynykova
US Open WD · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/07 Havlickova/Samson
WTA Prague WD · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
24/07 Kovackova/Kovackova
WTA Prague WD · Hard
2-1 19-12 W
22/07 Fossa Huergo/Hon
WTA Prague WD · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Sutjiadi/Tjen
Wimbledon WD · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Aoyama/Chan
WTA Nottingham WD · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Sutjiadi/Tjen
WTA Nottingham WD · Grass
2-1 20-16 W
18/06 Hunter/McNally
WTA Nottingham WD · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
15/06 Jurak Schreiber/Ruzic
WTA Nottingham WD · Grass
2-1 19-10 W
05/06 Gibson/Tjen
WTA Birmingham WD · Grass
0-2 7-12 L

Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Golubic/Waltert
US Open WD · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Eikeri/Gleason
WTA Monterrey WD · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Dabrowski/Krejcikova
WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
29/05 Selekhmeteva/Zakharova
French Open WD · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
27/05 Piter/Zarazua
French Open WD · Clay
2-1 19-12 W
19/05 Kozyreva/Panova
WTA Strasbourg WD · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
17/05 Andreeva/Shnaider
WTA Rome WD · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/05 Siniakova/Townsend
WTA Rome WD · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
12/05 Kichenok/Krunic
WTA Rome WD · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
11/05 Maleckova/Skoch
WTA Rome WD · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dart/Lumsden vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez?

Our model gives 57% to Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.