Tennis · US Open WD · 07/09, 20:30
Prediction: Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Chan/Joint
Team pages: Hsieh/Ostapenko · Chan/Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Hsieh/Ostapenko
Chan/Joint
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hsieh/Ostapenko
8-2 (W-L)
Chan/Joint
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hsieh/Ostapenko 1566 · Chan/Joint 1555
| Hsieh/Ostapenko | Chan/Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hsieh/Ostapenko makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Hsieh/Ostapenko | Chan/Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.4 | 13.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hsieh/Ostapenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Jurak Schreiber/Ruzic US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Kempen/Panova WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Guo/Mladenovic WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Mihalikova/Nicholls WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Errani/Melichar-Martinez WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
| 09/08 | Li/Tauson WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Sakkari/Vekic WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/02 | Danilina/Krunic WTA Doha WD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-17 | L |
Chan/Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Fossa Huergo/Korpatsch US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Williams/Williams US Open WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Kempen/Panova WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Errani/Fernandez WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Mertens/Shnaider WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Hunter/Krawczyk WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Aoyama/Liang WTA Toronto WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Kozyreva/Lumsden WTA Memphis WD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Cho/Cho WTA Memphis WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Martins/Ovcharenko WTA Memphis WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Chan/Joint?
Our model gives 63% to Hsieh/Ostapenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.