Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 02/09, 18:00
Prediction: Katsiaryna Starastsenka vs Patrycja Niewiadomska
Team pages: Patrycja Niewiadomska
Prediction summary
Winner
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
3-7 (W-L)
Patrycja Niewiadomska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katsiaryna Starastsenka 1426 · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1485
| Katsiaryna Starastsenka | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrycja Niewiadomska (rating 1426 vs 1485).
Statistics
| Katsiaryna Starastsenka | Patrycja Niewiadomska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-11.8 | 9.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 53% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katsiaryna Starastsenka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/01 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/01 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/01 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/01 | Katerina Shabashkevich UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Olivia Traynor UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Josephine Kunz UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Gabriella Rawles UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Patrycja Niewiadomska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Alessia Cau UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kennedy Gibbs UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Marylove Edwards UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sophia Cisse-Ignatiev UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Elen Jantacova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/02 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/02 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Isabella Foshee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katsiaryna Starastsenka vs Patrycja Niewiadomska?
Our model gives 68% to Patrycja Niewiadomska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.