Prediction: Sam Bakker vs Amaury Raynel
Team pages: Amaury Raynel
Prediction summary
Winner
Sam Bakker
Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sam Bakker
1-9 (W-L)
Amaury Raynel
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sam Bakker 1386 · Amaury Raynel 1463
| Sam Bakker | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amaury Raynel (rating 1386 vs 1463).
- Amaury Raynel is in better form: 30% recent wins.
- Note: Sam Bakker makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Sam Bakker | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.2-13.5 | 9.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 25% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sam Bakker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03 | Peter Fajta UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Matei Crisan UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Matei Florin Breazu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Jeremy Gschwendtner UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Astro Pilipovic UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/01 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Amaury Raynel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alexandr Binda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sam Bakker vs Amaury Raynel?
Our model gives 78% to Amaury Raynel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.