Prediction: Dax Donders vs Sam Bakker
Team pages: Dax Donders · Sam Bakker
Prediction summary
Winner
Dax Donders
Sam Bakker
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Dax Donders
4-6 (W-L)
Sam Bakker
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dax Donders 1492 · Sam Bakker 1407
| Dax Donders | Sam Bakker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dax Donders (rating 1492 vs 1407).
- Dax Donders is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dax Donders | Sam Bakker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 6.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 51% | 100% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dax Donders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Sep De Visser M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Max Van Nunen M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Maik Steiner M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Sam Bakker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Amaury Raynel M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/03 | Peter Fajta UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Matei Crisan UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Matei Florin Breazu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Jeremy Gschwendtner UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Astro Pilipovic UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dax Donders vs Sam Bakker?
Our model gives 76% to Dax Donders, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.