Tennis · M15 Haren · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Deney Wassermann vs Sander Jong
Team pages: Deney Wassermann · Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Deney Wassermann
Sander Jong
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Deney Wassermann
4-6 (W-L)
Sander Jong
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Deney Wassermann
1–0
Sander Jong
(1 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deney Wassermann 1455 · Sander Jong 1570
| Deney Wassermann | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1455 vs 1570).
- Sander Jong is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Deney Wassermann 1–0 Sander Jong (1).
- Note: Deney Wassermann makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Sander Jong makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Deney Wassermann | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.7 | 12.9-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Deney Wassermann 1 – 0 Sander Jong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deney Wassermann 1–0 Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/23 M25 The Hague | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deney Wassermann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Haren |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Fadi Bidan M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Jelle Sels M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 01/04 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Benoit Torcq M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Antoni Fabre M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 31/01 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Stan Put M15 Haren |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Pranav Karthik M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Lucio Ratti M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deney Wassermann vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 69% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.