Tennis · M15 Haren · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Pranav Karthik vs Sander Jong

Team pages: Pranav Karthik · Sander Jong

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Pranav Karthik Sander Jong
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pranav Karthik 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLLL
Sander Jong 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pranav Karthik 1516 · Sander Jong 1516
Pranav KarthikSander Jong
Our model50%50%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Pranav KarthikSander Jong
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.9-11.712-10.1
Aces1.95.7
Double faults2.63.9
1st serve %65.2%74.1%
Break %30.7%47.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pranav Karthik

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal
1-2 11-16 L
04/08 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Poprad
1-2 9-15 L
29/07 Iiro Vasa
M15 Wels
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Hazem Naw
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Louis Tessa
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
29/06 Mateja Stanisavljevic
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
24/06 Pieter De Lange
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 12-19 L
22/06 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/05 Markus Molder
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 1-6 L
23/05 Madhwin Kamath
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W

Sander Jong

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal
1-2 15-17 L
27/08 Lucio Ratti
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Manvydas Balciunas
M25 Oldenzaal
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Maxime Chazal
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
10/07 Alejandro Juan Mano
M25 The Hague
1-2 13-16 L
09/07 Eero Vasa
M25 The Hague
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Jeremy Schifris
M25 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Jesse De Jager
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Manvydas Balciunas
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pranav Karthik vs Sander Jong?

Our model gives 72% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.